Steven Birchfield of Automation Centre (at http://www.acentre.com) is a bit more pessimistic, envisioning the market going from the current 20,000 customers to around 5,000 customers in the next 10 years. He adds, however, "The good news is that the 5,000 customers will all be very large accounts, and the Domino market will still represent a sizable opportunity."

Arvin Kamboj, Systems Consultant--Business Development at Foedero Technologies Inc. (at http://www.foedero.com) doesn't see much growth in the Domino server market either. "I feel more emphasis has been geared towards WebSphere. Microsoft has dominated the SMB market with Microsoft Exchange and Outlook. I see Domino's market fading."

Sethuram S, Vice President--Sales at Cybernet Software Systems (at http://www.cybernetsoft.com), disagrees. "With a population of over 90 Million users worldwide as claimed by Lotus and IBM, it would be impossible to see no growth in the Domino market." He does add, though, that with the delay in the launch of ND6 and some mixed reactions from the market place, the growth will be slowed unless IBM continues to show special emphasis on the Lotus brand.

M7 Corporation, Inc. (at http://www.m7.com) is an application assembly platform provider, which delivers solutions designed to develop enterprise-quality J2EE Web applications. M7's Vice President of Marketing, Zack Urlocker, believes Domino and Notes were great products in their time, but interest has leveled off among their customers. "They have a great installed base, but not necessarily a lot of new applications development. That's going over to standards based architectures, like J2EE."

Sherry Weinstein of Eclipse Education, Inc. (at http://www.eclipse-education.com) does see growth. "The new tools available in Domino 6, combined with the complimentary systems (such as Sametime and LEI), offer far more integration options to extend applications well beyond the boundaries of R5's capabilities. Administrators' tasks become much easier to manage, and development tools such as the DXL Classes, LS2J, style sheets, and HTML integration offer a vast array of programming options that can be applied not only to server-based solutions but also to the client platform."

Chip LeBlanc, Director of OEM and Partner Programs at Endeca (at http://www.endeca.com) also sees growth, saying "The collaboration market continues to gain momentum especially in companies where there is a need to share knowledge resources across departments, workers, vendors, and customers. IBM will surely continue to leverage its heritage and innovation in collaborative applications across their huge customer base in an effort to increase Domino market-share."

Nigel Cheshire, CEO of Teamstudio, Inc. (at http://www.teamstudio.com) has an interesting perspective, seeing growth for the Domino market in Europe and Japan, but not in the U.S.