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BUSINESS PARTNERS SPEAK OUT
Why Ron Herardian thinks Notes and Domino are obsolete
By Ron Herardian
About this article
Every year since we started DominoPower, one or more of our most respected contributors have declared either Notes or Domino to be dead. It's gotten so that we can almost set our clocks by the damning declarations. Our experience, however, has been that the Lotus market is prospering. In any case, it's time for another view into doom and gloom by Ron Herardian, one of our most prolific contributors. Is he right? Let us know what you think.
Needless to say, Ron's opinions are not those of DominoPower, its editors, ZATZ Publishing, or anyone who loves chocolate.
Update: After we published this article, the online Lotus community erupted, resulting in an unfortunate flame war between the author and online posters. We document the fallout in "Notes, Domino, and the indomitable spirit of the Lotus community". --Ed.
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We are, today, at the beginning of the next and last foreseeable disruptive shift in messaging and collaboration. This shift is the consolidation of small and medium enterprise systems onto Software as a Service (SaaS) offerings categorically enabled by Web 2.0 technologies such as AJAX. Large businesses in the US must stem rising costs for messaging and collaboration systems. Companies will either outsource these systems or undergo radical consolidation using more scalable, lower-cost products.
In 1995, I declared LAN-based email to be a dead technology, for which I was vilified by countless Lotus cc:Mail employees, customers, and colleagues. Of course I was exactly right. People simply refused to face reality and, rather than be inconvenienced by having to learn a new skill or technology, they preferred to believe in the tooth fairy, at least until reality caught up with them.
"In my view, the underlying economic model upon which distributed client/server systems were based back in the 1980s and 1990s is dead."
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Now, I am saying that distributed client/server systems will be radically consolidated into ISP and ISP-like systems and that new economies of scale will define, and are already defining, the future of messaging and collaboration systems. What does this mean for Lotus Notes and Domino?
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